Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1869.266745 2036.808369 2207.110876 2392.890585 2589.558871 2791.272174 3013.511239
2025-03-09 1618.642556 1868.959185 2133.560299 2432.958124 2761.167231 3108.897907 3504.030574
2025-03-16 1423.110738 1717.433537 2037.841167 2410.218118 2828.734660 3282.295548 3808.670835
2025-03-23 1321.784715 1654.009730 2024.406220 2464.129096 2968.036472 3523.695987 4178.909426
2025-03-30 1217.360016 1575.511430 1983.670335 2477.629990 3053.573965 3698.418288 4469.366859
2025-04-06 1123.138818 1500.410180 1939.249658 2479.800161 3120.024199 3846.672022 4726.097446
2025-04-13 1000.976725 1382.876190 1836.737959 2406.079923 3091.257793 3879.668283 4845.525351
2025-04-20 969.237269 1373.462648 1861.651582 2482.368899 3238.141767 4116.453741 5201.874804
2025-04-27 923.605315 1343.068259 1857.965096 2521.515747 3338.814314 4297.907448 5493.261465
2025-05-04 863.440463 1290.177808 1822.969944 2519.182866 3386.867549 4415.156563 5707.727868
2025-05-11 802.157306 1232.123120 1778.194680 2501.680139 3413.862683 4505.314302 5888.662539
2025-05-18 762.018282 1199.764964 1764.230869 2521.221962 3485.330169 4648.522353 6133.289554
2025-05-25 712.145010 1152.369779 1729.593239 2513.976677 3523.888876 4753.194476 6334.215135
2025-06-01 683.531050 1132.843631 1730.577285 2552.075975 3619.590116 4928.767595 6623.180504
2025-06-08 634.195394 1081.273471 1686.242722 2528.693137 3635.143863 5003.730542 6787.800232
2025-06-15 617.146397 1074.910125 1702.277001 2584.467969 3752.202723 5205.635880 7110.209352
2025-06-22 586.805332 1047.398289 1687.866952 2598.435637 3814.330503 5338.261225 7346.780136
2025-06-29 554.656863 1015.413496 1665.726461 2600.680712 3860.209077 5449.861702 7557.101338
2025-07-06 499.777905 945.924985 1587.963840 2524.404787 3800.232160 5424.732105 7593.847878
2025-07-13 496.115177 955.302237 1622.725635 2603.338102 3946.959618 5665.367882 7968.196015
2025-07-20 481.232734 946.173049 1630.118994 2643.832697 4042.222710 5840.065345 8259.649904
2025-07-27 454.902780 917.371330 1607.612890 2641.419671 4079.023672 5938.760587 8454.258220
2025-08-03 425.885528 882.607146 1574.901286 2623.314953 4093.562305 6007.849155 8610.681425